Profar So Far

I am certain that if you are reading this you are a fan of baseball. If you are a fan of baseball then you have certainly heard that consensus number one prospect Jurickson Profar has just been called up to replace the ailing Ian Kinsler at second base for the Texas Rangers. There are not many things in this life that I am sure of, but the previous two sentences definitely qualify as undeniable truths to me. Now that I have established those truths I am faced with the question of what this information really means. The most obvious candidates to be affected by this move are Mitch Moreland, Ian Kinsler, David Murphy, Giancarlo Stanton, David Price, and scorecard spell-checkers. We all know Profar’s talent level, so I will not reiterate that as it would be redundant information to the majority of you. Instead I will include this scouting rundown by Fangraphs’ Mike Newman who does a much more adept job at summarizing Profar’s various talents than I ever could. Now that you know what Profar brings I would like to explore quickly in bullet form how he might affect those various entities mentioned above.

  • Mitch Moreland – Moreland has been pretty fantastic of late with a .464 wOBA so far in the Month of May. It seems unlikely that he will be moved to a DH role or sent to the Bench to move Ian Kinsler to make room for Profar. Ron Washington loves to stick with his veterans sometimes to a fault. However, it appears that this time it may be prudent to stick with Moreland rather than move to the young Profar.
  •  Ian Kinsler – Kinsler has turned in to the new Michael Young for the Texas Rangers in that it appears that the rumblings of moving his position will not subside. It appears as though he is safe at second base for now considering his torrid start and the play of Mitch Moreland so far. 
  • David Murphy – Murphy, unlike Kinsler and Moreland, has not been so great to begin the 2013 campaign. It is possible that Kinsler could be moved to the outfield to take over primary duties on LF while Murphy is sent to the bench. Again, I do not see this organization making such a move which leads me to believe that Profar could be traded.
  • Giancarlo Stanton – Rumors were abound in the offseason of a Profar plus additional pieces trade for Stanton. This is still very much in play, but the Marlins insistence that he will not be traded and Stanton;’s own health issues have thrown a monkey wrench into that idea. Still, I would not be overly surprised to see a Profar-Mike Olt-Martin Perez/Justin Grimm/Leonys Martin  type trade at the deadline.
  • David Price – Price is the other name that has been bandied about in a trade for Profar, but it appears that a separate monkey wrench has been thrown into that idea. Price’s velocity has been down and he is currently on the disabled list and not expected to return for roughly three weeks. If he is still struggling with his velocity it is possible that the Rangers would not feel comfortable trading the top prospect in the game for a starter with legitimate injury concerns. Additionally, from the Rays side it seems unlikely that they would trade low on Price when they could simply wait until next season to jettison him for prospects.
Jurickson  Profar hitting a homerun in his first Major League at-bat.

Jurickson Profar hitting a homerun in his first Major League at-bat.

So far Profar has been a solid performer at every level and projects to exceed in all aspect of the game. He does not blow you away in any singular way, but the sum of his parts constructs a great foundation for stardom. It has often been side that he is more of a high-floor than a high-ceiling guy, but a shortstop who hits near .300 with a .380 OBP throwing up 20/20 seasons is nothing to scoff at. So far Profar’s future is still rather uncertain, but I do have to say that as a Rangers fan I hope that we find a way to hold on to him.


Rooting for Juan Pierre

The other night I found myself watching a Marlins – Dodgers game with Baseball Ruminations founder Chris Rice.  We were watching the NBA playoffs on my TV that’s hooked up to the cable box while the computer hooked up to my Mac Mini had our fantasy baseball league stat tracker running.  We noticed his recent pickup, Jose the-only-reason-to-attend-a-Marlin-game Fernandez, was giving up a few runs to the Phillies.  We turned on the game via our shared MLB.tv account (shh, don’t tell MLB) to see the damage live.  What happened next made me truly appreciate all the splendors playing fantasy baseball can provide a couple of guys in their mid-20s.

juan-pierre

Rooting for Pierre would be far more enjoyable if he brought the Colorado ‘stache back.

The game was tied 3-3 in the top of the 7th with runners on and Juan Pierre up.  This at bat was important because Fernandez pitched 6 innings allowing the three runs, but would get the much heralded “W” for the 2013 Riceronis should they score while he’s still the pitcher of record.  Chris’ Riceronis are in the midst of digging out of a deep hole in our rotisserie league due to some unfortunate early injuries (including the other reason to watch the Marlins, Giancarlo Stanton).  Ronald Belisario allowed a lead-off single to Marlins catcher Rob Brantly and then a much-reviewed ball hit by pinch-hitter Chris Coghlan, which wound up be being scored as a double off the top of the center field wall.  Coghlan managed to hit the ball as hard as possible without homering.  As Chris pointed out, had he gotten an extra 30 minutes of sleep the night before, it likely would have gone over the wall.  As Pierre went to battle with men on second and third, we couldn’t help but divert our attention from the playoff basketball to this seemingly meaningless early May at bat between two last place teams.

The reason I’m even writing this (aside from being up at 5 am because I had a milkshake at 2 am) is because I have friends who love sports but abhor the idea of fantasy sports.  They think it ruins the true meaning of organized sport; to those who are anti-fantasy, rooting for players other than those on your favorite team is a conflict of interest and is thus unacceptable.  While I agree that, for example, a Braves fan should not be rooting for Nationals players to do well, you can still have a healthy fantasy relationship while not tampering with your team allegiances.  In fact, I believe those who play fantasy sports typically become the more educated fans, which we definitely need more of in this crazy world.

My dear friend Billy is one of the most anti-fantasy people I’ve ever known.  We share a love of New York sports, but our similarities end there.  He’s a Yankee fan, so he knows a fair amount about the Yankees throughout the season.  I am also a Yankee fan, but in addition to following the Yanks I also follow the games of those players on my fantasy teams.  So while he’ll watch a Yankee game or at least check the box score the next day, I’ll be constantly looking at and refreshing my MLB At Bat app all day long and keep track of my Yahoo! Sports fantasy team.  I’ll be monitoring my Shin-Soo Choo and Jay Bruce as they’re taking on Milwaukee while also seeing if one of my five closers might get a chance for a very valuable save.  I always make sure to know what’s going on in the daily Yankee game, but I also have an eye on a handful of other games, staying abreast of each teams’ roster, searching for a great waiver wire pickup to help out the team.

By seemingly being obsessive about some virtual numbers I’m actually getting a thorough dose of baseball on a daily basis, getting to know all 750 major leaguers and checking Twitter and other MLB blogs for injury news, roster moves or any intriguing call-ups.  By streaming games, following on the At Bat app and reading whatever I can get my hands on, I can safely guarantee I’m far and away more knowledgeable about baseball as a whole than Billy and other casual fans because I’m investing so much time into the sport I love.  Isn’t that the point of it all?  Sports exist for us to escape the harshness of reality, so what better way than to make baseball your fantasy?  (I know, way too cheesy.  I apologize).

I have a few rules, however, to make sure there isn’t a clear conflict of interest.  As an aforementioned Yankee fan, I never draft Yankee or Red Sox players.  I don’t.  Maybe sometimes…but mostly I don’t.  The Yankees really only had Mariano Rivera and C.C. Sabathia as fantasy studs coming into 2013, but I still didn’t go after them.  Despite the hot starts by Travis Hafner, Vernon Wells and even Lyle Overbay I didn’t grab them off the waiver wire.  These are foolish moves in a highly competitive environment, but I can’t jinx my team like that.  I just can’t.  I know their production will drop off once I acquire them.  In that same stream of thought I don’t play Red Sox players because I could never forgive myself for rooting for one of them (except maybe Ellsbury so he can demand more money from them this coming off-season).

Pierre still has some highlights in those old legs of his.  Just ask John Buck.

Pierre still has some highlights in those old legs of his. Just ask John Buck.

So there we were: Juan Pierre up with men on second and third.  The 35-year-old did not disappoint; he lined a single into left field scoring Brantley and Coghlan, giving the Marlins a 5-3 lead.  The fightin’ Pierres managed to hang on for a 5-4 victory, giving Jose Fernandez his second career win and a much needed W for the Riceronis.  Yes, we audibly cheered for Juan Pierre while watching a Marlins-Dodgers game to its conclusion on a Friday night in early May.  I thank you, fantasy sports, for justifying our sick lust…I mean love of the game.